Argentina's soybean production for the 2022/23 season has been reduced for the third consecutive month due to hot and dry weather, which is causing stress to the crop in vital growing regions. This month, the production has decreased by 8.0 million tons to a 14-year low of 33.0 million. Additionally, the crush forecast is anticipated to be at the lowest level in more than ten years. The declining supplies and crush in Argentina will have an impact on the global trade of soybeans, protein meal, and vegetable oils in the forthcoming months.
To counterbalance the limited domestic soybean supplies, Argentina is expected to reach a record high of 7.3 million tons of imports (Oct-Sep). The importers in Argentina are anticipated to take advantage of the record Brazilian crop and the recovery in Paraguay's production to supplement the weak domestic crop. Therefore, Argentina is expected to have the second-largest increase in soybean import growth in 2022/23, following China.