According to trade sources, the crop in the Brazilian state of Pará is expected to be harvested in September, now stockists are liquidating before the new crop arrivals. This has pushed Brazil's black pepper prices down 12% month-on-month and down 15% year-on-year.
In Vietnam, favorable weather conditions during the flowering and fruiting period in most of the main production areas support the upcoming crop. The initial estimate of the 2023 crop production is around 200,000-210,000 tons, an increase of about 10-15% compared to 2022. However, there are wide variations across production regions, with Gia Lai expected to continue its downtrend while Dak Lak appears to be recovering well from last year's decline.
Harvests in Indonesia and China are also underway. In Indonesia, Lampung black pepper production is similar to last year while Muntok white pepper production is expected to be 15% lower.
According to some sources, in India, more than normal rainfall in July may affect pepper plants during fruiting period. Meanwhile, Sri Lanka's pepper harvest is in its final stages.